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Huaren
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holidaycactus

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2024-10-28 20:09:44

justfadeaway. 发表于 2024-10-28 20:04

MAGAs 把 liz cheney 都开出党籍了,骂她是Rino。

John Kelly, a 4 star general,给trump工作最久的 chief of staff 是liar。

Jan 6 是 peaceful protest,当天打警察的都是antifa。

他们完全是在另外一个reality。


This is not your Regan Republican, Trump has completely hijacked the party.



Jan 6 is a day of love!

Huaren
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justfadeaway.

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2024-10-28 20:14:39

even this is true, it has already split arab votes.


in 2020, biden got 80% arab votes. there are 400,000 arab in Michigan.


today, harris would be lucky to get 40%.


that is not enough to win.


check out Micheal Moore's comment on that issue. he is still hopeful. but it is very hard without arab votes.


Michigan is a must-win for Harris. if harris lose Michigan, game over.



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witmail 发表于 2024-10-28 20:07

I agree with your analysis on the Arab voters.

I actually watched his interview with Joy Reid and agree with his sentiment 100%.



系统提示:若遇到视频无法播放请点击下方链接
https://www.youtube.com/embed/QJWxDXuj_MA


I think Harris will win, even with the split arab votes. I personally think the deciding factor for this election will be women, especially Gen Z women. Roevember is REAL.

Huaren
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witmail

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2024-10-28 20:15:01

flyinthewind2012 发表于 2024-10-28 20:08

2020年川普的Poll数字更好。并且那时候他Rally比现在火爆多了,结果怎么样呢?呵呵🤭


you are talking nonsense or ignorant.


in 2020, Biden's poll was 8 points higher. won by a tiny amount.


Arab is the game changer. they are seeking revenge on Biden/harris since they believed they sent Biden to the white house. yet, Biden supports Isreal strongly.


without Arab votes, Harris is going to lose Michigan.

Huaren
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Blueocean23

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2024-10-28 20:17:07

回复 33楼 witmail 的帖子


你需要分析下买POLL的因素,这个trump自己在采访中提到过的


要看POLL是花钱买的,还是真正的POLL,才可以说明问题


而且密歇根的穆斯林不是出来支持Harris了吗?人家都发表声明跟视频了,怎么到现在还认为是支持trump的?


还有Puerto Rico的选票

Huaren
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flyinthewind2012

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2024-10-28 20:17:57

witmail 发表于 2024-10-28 20:15

you are talking nonsense or ignorant.


in 2020, Biden's poll was 8 points higher. won by a tiny amount.


Arab is the game changer. they are seeking revenge on Biden/harris since they believed they sent Biden to the white house. yet, Biden supports Isreal strongly.


without Arab votes, Harris is going to lose Michigan.


当年我看的民调就是川普领先,可能是右派媒体。我还记得那时候川粉们嘲笑拜登的rally冷清没人的。


Huaren
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flyinthewind2012

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2024-10-28 20:20:18

witmail 发表于 2024-10-28 20:15

you are talking nonsense or ignorant.


in 2020, Biden's poll was 8 points higher. won by a tiny amount.


Arab is the game changer. they are seeking revenge on Biden/harris since they believed they sent Biden to the white house. yet, Biden supports Isreal strongly.


without Arab votes, Harris is going to lose Michigan.


再给你看看MI早投数据,这比什么民调靠谱多了。

早投数据民主党已经领先14%了。底特律黑人那么多,竟然觉得Harris会输MI,也不知道脑子是怎么想的。


https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/michigan-results

Huaren
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Blueocean23

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2024-10-28 20:20:33

flyinthewind2012 发表于 2024-10-28 20:17

当年我看的民调就是川普领先,可能是右派媒体。我还记得那时候川粉们嘲笑拜登的rally冷清没人的。



当年trump自己对这个可得意了,嘲笑BIDEN的rally没人

Huaren
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justfadeaway.

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2024-10-28 20:23:40

回复 37楼 Blueocean23 的帖子

MAGAs为了川大统帅上刀山下火海在所不惜的,不怕死的


The birth of r/HermanCainAward on reddit

Huaren
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justfadeaway.

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2024-10-28 20:29:26

回复 34楼 Blueocean23 的帖子

也不能怪他们有这个conclusion吧。 michigan的arab votes 非常split

但是我看各种analysis,我觉得支持trump的是少数。


harris 和 uncommitted 占大多数,然后是jill stein, an effing cicada who pops up every four years and makes annoying sounds.

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Huaren
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justfadeaway.

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2024-10-28 20:31:00

回复 31楼 holidaycactus 的帖子

群众的眼睛是雪亮的。



系统提示:若遇到视频无法播放请点击下方链接
https://x.com/therecount/status/1846974458029858954

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