ADVERTISEMENT
返回
  • 浏览过的版块

12345678
ADVERTISEMENT
Huaren
等级大校
威望15
贴子12262
魅力13673
注册时间2019-02-27

dukenyc125

只看楼主

如果Kamala真能赢下Iowa,那么意味着Kamala vs Trump会是412 vs126 的疯狂胜利

15227

77

2024-11-02 21:34:18

因为这意味着TX, FL甚至OH都会变蓝


会不会这样疯狂?让我们周二拭目以待


8012642

Huaren
等级上士
威望1
贴子1397
魅力1409
注册时间2022-10-15

athenana

只看他

2024-11-02 21:35:42

低调低调,投票投票💪💪💪

Huaren
等级少校
威望4
贴子3478
魅力3498
注册时间2022-12-21

Mediterranean

只看他

2024-11-02 21:39:28

这些都是噪音,投票投票!

Huaren
等级二等兵
威望--
贴子271
魅力326
注册时间2018-09-23

foxhunter

只看他

2024-11-02 21:40:08

赢不了,总有outlier出来造话题。同一天,另一个poll,川领先9。

今天还有poll说川哈Virginia打平呢。前几天也有poll说川NH领先呢。这种outlier不必认真。

关键自己要有脑子。

https://chismstrategies.com/final-surveys-2024/

Virginia has the most surprising result of the three states we surveyed. While there have been few surveys of the state, those we have seen have mostly shown Harris performing close to Biden’s 2020 numbers and Tim Kaine running significantly ahead of Harris.

However, our survey tells a different story, with Harris up by .7% (45.2%-44.5%), a statistical tie, and Kaine not leading his Republican opponent Hung Cao by much more (46.4%-44.9%).

Huaren
等级大校
威望15
贴子12262
魅力13673
注册时间2019-02-27

dukenyc125

只看楼主

2024-11-02 21:53:16

foxhunter 发表于 2024-11-02 21:40

赢不了,总有outlier出来造话题。同一天,另一个poll,川领先9。

今天还有poll说川哈Virginia打平呢。前几天也有poll说川NH领先呢。这种outlier不必认真。

关键自己要有脑子。

https://chismstrategies.com/final-surveys-2024/

Virginia has the most surprising result of the three states we surveyed. While there have been few surveys of the state, those we have seen have mostly shown Harris performing close to Biden’s 2020 numbers and Tim Kaine running significantly ahead of Harris.

However, our survey tells a different story, with Harris up by .7% (45.2%-44.5%), a statistical tie, and Kaine not leading his Republican opponent Hung Cao by much more (46.4%-44.9%).


Selzer 在Iowa民调界是神一般的存在,最权威的,到你嘴里变成了outlier


J. Ann Selzer is an American political pollster who is the president of the Des Moines, Iowa-based polling firm Selzer & Company, which she founded in 1996.


你说的那些野鸡maga poll,给她提鞋都不够

Huaren
等级少校
威望4
贴子3481
魅力3777
注册时间2018-09-19

ljmdtc

只看他

2024-11-02 21:58:11

没啥好吵的,还有三天就出结果了

Huaren
等级少尉
威望2
贴子1641
魅力1727
注册时间2022-04-17

seanxyz2

只看他

2024-11-02 21:58:35

希望harris大赢,也是告诉共和党必须跟MAGA彻底切割, MAGA种族主义不死,永远不投任何共和党

Huaren
等级大校
威望35
贴子28051
魅力30388
注册时间2016-11-22

minqidev

只看他

2024-11-02 22:00:58

如果ohio本地poll只领先3%,那真是出大麻烦了。

按道理,ohio,应该领先10%以上

Huaren
等级上尉
威望3
贴子2953
魅力3803
注册时间2006-12-17

me3

只看他

2024-11-02 22:01:48

回复 4楼 foxhunter 的帖子

你是预测Trump大胜吧。告诉你一个好消息,今天kalshi 赌市已经翻转了,Harris 占优,所以是你们赶紧买进trump的好时机,买一块得两块,前些天连一块五都得不到。发财的机会来了,这个网站美国人可以买。

ADVERTISEMENT
Huaren
等级大校
威望56
贴子44704
魅力50328
注册时间2017-05-30

mindstorm

只看他

2024-11-02 22:06:40

me3 发表于 2024-11-02 22:01
回复 4楼 foxhunter 的帖子

你是预测Trump大胜吧。告诉你一个好消息,今天kalshi 赌市已经翻转了,Harris 占优,所以是你们赶紧买进trump的好时机,买一块得两块,前些天连一块五都得不到。发财的机会来了,这个网站美国人可以买。


也刚听说赌局翻了,不知道是不是普通现象 。

初始化编辑器...

到底了