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Huaren
等级大校
威望10
贴子8229
魅力11795
注册时间2011-01-30

dodgers

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少数民族把T选上去的,T的白人选票share降了3%

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2024-11-06 19:47:35

Strikingly, Trump’s support among white voters dropped by 3 percentage point from 2016 — and Harris gained 8 points among white voters.


In total, 12% of black voters reported casting ballots for Trump in 2024, compared with just 8% eight years earlier. Twenty percent of black men said they supported the former president over Harris.

Asian voters voted for Trump by 38%, which was a nine-percentage-point increase from 2016. That’s the same margin that left the Democratic party by 2024.

Among Latinos, 45% broke for him this cycle, whereas just 29% voted for him in 2016 — a 16 percentage point shift.

A majority (54%) of Latino men helped fuel that rise for the soon-to-be 47th presiden


Biden的政策不是从竞选赢的角度出发的。比如乌克兰战争,选民不太喜欢,他做了。Chips Act,帮不了选民,他做了。Inflation Reduction Act,没有减通胀,花了大笔钱,选民没有好处,他也做了。边境移民是最明显的例子,明明知道选民不喜欢,拖到最后才限制。


Trump为了赢做事,起码很多时候,比如边境移民,就是不让Biden通过控制边境移民的法案,说,不过可以做议题,竞选。


还有对华关税,某些民生产品,可以降低通胀的,可以偷偷的免得关税,不做,不懂如何讨好选民,输了很正常。





Huaren
等级大校
威望10
贴子8229
魅力11795
注册时间2011-01-30

dodgers

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2024-11-06 19:48:00

少数民族经济问题,通货膨胀。


很多收入低的被通胀打击。


高收入的在exit poll数据里,投H的比例高

Huaren
等级大校
威望10
贴子8229
魅力11795
注册时间2011-01-30

dodgers

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2024-11-06 19:55:53

珠箔飘灯 发表于 2024-11-06 19:49

是的,所以我说,此时要反省的已经不是经济和民生了,而是别的。我不是说什么厕所那些。

2016及更早到2022年,是因为不注意经济和民生,导致旧势力成了气候。现在是已成气候。


还是经济问题。T运气超好。现在通胀基本降下来了,经济好,他继承后,可以说是他搞的好。


经济上,民主党比较蠢是很明显的。采用了losing 经济政策,选民不care. 啥chips act, 花了钱又不影响多少选民。都给T借花献佛了。

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