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Trump赢定了!

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2024-10-26 11:39:28

单身男 发表于 2024-10-26 07:26

The vast majority of bets placed with a leading bookmaker on the 2024 presidential election winner over the past week backed Republican candidate Donald Trump to win, according to data provided to Newsweek.

Out of those who bet on the White House battle with Star Sports in the week to Thursday, 95 percent put money on Trump to win, while 5 percent bet on Vice President Kamala Harris, his Democratic opponent. Overall, Star Sports is offering odds of 4/6 (60 percent) on Trump to win on November 5 against 11/8 (42.1 percent) for Harris.

Recent polling indicates that the 2024 presidential election is too close to call, with an analysis published on Thursday by the election website 538 giving Harris a 1.7-point lead, with 48.1 percent of the vote against Trump''s 46.4 percent. However, the Electoral College system means Harris could win the popular vote but still lose the election, as Hillary Clinton did in 2016. According to 538, Trump is the favorite to win the Electoral College, with a 51 percent chance of victory.


7999302


这个是一个数据显示, 不要简单认为是 Peter thiel 成立的, 因为, 这个 赌博是无法决定结果的。 赌博人这样赌,肯定有一定的道理。


另外是 Djt 股票, 从$12 到$39. 也是不同寻常。。 投资人,不会和钱过不去。


Harris的最简单 path 是 Wi, PA, Michigan.


她的问题是Michigan Muslim。 Michigan有400,000 Muslim。 2000, 白等拿到80% Muslim选票。 现在是40%. trump也是40%. 这个一进一出, 厉害。 没有 Muslim, Harris很难赢 Michigan。


输了Michigan, Harris必须赢 GA。 但是 early vote, trump在 GA 占优。

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