dukenyc125
如果Kamala真能赢下Iowa，那么意味着Kamala vs Trump会是412 vs126 的疯狂胜利
15243
77
2024-11-02 21:34:18
因为这意味着TX, FL甚至OH都会变蓝
会不会这样疯狂？让我们周二拭目以待
赢不了，总有outlier出来造话题。同一天，另一个poll，川领先9。
今天还有poll说川哈Virginia打平呢。前几天也有poll说川NH领先呢。这种outlier不必认真。
关键自己要有脑子。
https://chismstrategies.com/final-surveys-2024/
Virginia has the most surprising result of the three states we surveyed. While there have been few surveys of the state, those we have seen have mostly shown Harris performing close to Biden’s 2020 numbers and Tim Kaine running significantly ahead of Harris.
However, our survey tells a different story, with Harris up by .7% (45.2%-44.5%), a statistical tie, and Kaine not leading his Republican opponent Hung Cao by much more (46.4%-44.9%).
Selzer 在Iowa民调界是神一般的存在，最权威的，到你嘴里变成了outlier
J. Ann Selzer is an American political pollster who is the president of the Des Moines, Iowa-based polling firm Selzer & Company, which she founded in 1996.
你说的那些野鸡maga poll，给她提鞋都不够
回复 1楼 dukenyc125 的帖子
怎么可能？看面相，哈里斯是没有总统相！
临近大选，连算命看相的都来了
都是些什么人在讨论政治啊
到底了
Hot Deals
All Deals