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Huaren
等级大校
威望30
贴子23345
魅力29154
注册时间2005-03-15

xyin

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[讨论]最近的股市

2041

13

2006-07-15 00:50:00

refer to my previous post, i started to build positions in GLD, SLV and TIE since end of june. since then GLD and SLV gave me very good returns. altho TIE took a big dump recently, I added more today and yesterday 26, 24.

I am very patiently build my positions. Altho when I posted last time end of June, I thought there maybe a better buying opportunities in august, I think because of the war, this opportunities maybe already presented itself to us. However, the war situation is not very clear. altho i am very tempted to buy more, i know i should be patient. If a few months later, this did become one of the best buying opportunitie of the year, I would not feel regret to miss to load fully up here.

I am not paying too much attention to the overall market any more. so can't speak for other stocks. I have very limtied time, I will only trade the ones I have researched and keeping my eyes on the ongoing progress.

Happy investing and trading.

Huaren
等级大校
威望30
贴子23345
魅力29154
注册时间2005-03-15

xyin

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2006-07-19 11:50:00

今天很象双底啊。。 不过依赖TA,是很危险的一件事。 但是我非常tempting认为今天是双底。。

我一般来说, new low 要test, 在这次中东危机前, 我认为这个test 会在大概8月份, 中东危机可能使这个test 提前了。

Huaren
等级大校
威望30
贴子23345
魅力29154
注册时间2005-03-15

xyin

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2006-07-20 11:42:00

最近大家对股票的兴趣大减啊, 好现象
Huaren
等级大校
威望30
贴子23345
魅力29154
注册时间2005-03-15

xyin

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2006-07-21 09:58:00

小心是好事情。

美国和日本情况是不一样的。 就好象中国和印度不一样。中国为什么在经历如此多的政治磨难之后, 撅起如此之快和强, 这一点印度作不到的, 同样我不认为美国会走和日本一样的路, 这不意味着说美国经济不会走弱, 但我认为如果走弱也是不同的走法, 这两个国家有本质的文化差别。

现在的跌法我觉得没有什么了不起的, 和2001年的时候根本没有办法比。 美国能从那个时候走出来, 没有道理这个调整之后就此走入熊市了。

但是现在也确实有新的情况, 油价, 房市, 利率, 我最担心的不是inflation, 而是通缩。

高油价不是坏事情。 房市我不认为会有national wide crash. 利率杠杆能否在一次发挥作用, 值得关注。

初始化编辑器...

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